Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Hughes 39.8% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 62.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 80.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 54.2%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Bedard
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bedard
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
36.8% (266)
+7.4%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
14.3% (7)
+55.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
33.3% (6)
+20.5%
On power play, Bedard has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hughes
Home
50.7% (223)
35.1% (148)
Away
42.2% (270)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Bedard
Hughes
P1
40.8%
43.0%
P2
48.2%
28.7%
P3
48.0%
35.2%
Final 5 min
45.3%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |