Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 47.7% vs Hughes 40.3% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 61.6%
Defensive zone
Bedard 78.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Bedard
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bedard
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (283)
35.1% (151)
+9.8%
Power Play
76.2% (21)
16.7% (6)
+59.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
33.3% (6)
+12.2%
On power play, Bedard has a +59.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Bedard is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Bedard shoots right. Hughes is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hughes
Home
52.4% (145)
32.4% (74)
Away
42.4% (170)
36.0% (89)
By Period
Bedard
Hughes
P1
37.9%
38.8%
P2
48.6%
27.6%
P3
53.2%
36.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |