Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.3% vs 37.6%). Look for Bedard on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Hughes 39.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.6%
Defensive zone
Bedard 66.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Bedard
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bedard
Hughes
Last 6: Bedard 2-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Bedard
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Bedard
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
37.9% (623)
+0.1%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
33.3% (33)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
36.4% (11)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hughes
Home
40.5% (316)
36.6% (314)
Away
36.2% (340)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Bedard
Hughes
P1
37.2%
36.4%
P2
36.9%
35.6%
P3
40.7%
41.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |