Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 47.7% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Bedard
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Bedard
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Bedard
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Bedard
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (283)
54.6% (669)
-9.7%
Power Play
76.2% (21)
57.3% (171)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
56.3% (87)
-10.8%
On power play, Bedard has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bedard is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Bedard shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Bedard
O'Reilly
Home
52.4% (145)
56.4% (486)
Away
42.4% (170)
54.0% (441)
By Period
Bedard
O'Reilly
P1
37.9%
55.3%
P2
48.6%
53.4%
P3
53.2%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |