Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Steel 46.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 52.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 71.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 64.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Bedard
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bedard
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Bedard
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
44.6% (177)
-5.7%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
66.7% (3)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.8% (29)
-19.8%
On power play, Steel has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Bedard
Steel
Home
40.2% (246)
46.7% (90)
Away
37.8% (286)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Bedard
Steel
P1
39.9%
47.8%
P2
38.5%
47.0%
P3
39.0%
41.3%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sam Steel |