Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Steel 50.6% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 57.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 51.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.8%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Bedard
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
52.5% (200)
-8.3%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
71.4% (7)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
40.0% (45)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Bedard
Steel
Home
50.7% (223)
49.5% (109)
Away
42.2% (270)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Bedard
Steel
P1
40.8%
49.5%
P2
48.2%
47.5%
P3
48.0%
56.6%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%