Connor Bedard vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 86.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 79.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 83.1%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Bedard
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Bedard
Stamkos
Last 10: Bedard 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Bedard
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Bedard
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Bedard
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
50.4% (9,799)
-10.3%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
55.1% (1,725)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
49.7% (825)
+0.3%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bedard is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Bedard shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Bedard
Stamkos
Home
43.3% (785)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
38.5% (896)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Bedard
Stamkos
P1
39.0%
49.1%
P2
40.7%
52.7%
P3
42.6%
50.9%
OT
42.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |