Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 48.1% vs Eller 49.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 55.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 51.0%
Neutral zone
Dewar 58.5%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Dewar
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dewar
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Dewar
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (114)
51.1% (786)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
45.0% (80)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
43.6% (165)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dewar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Dewar shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Dewar
Eller
Home
45.3% (64)
51.2% (510)
Away
47.8% (69)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Dewar
Eller
P1
33.3%
50.7%
P2
44.2%
49.0%
P3
64.1%
48.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Lars Eller |