Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Eller 52.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 59.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Dewar
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dewar
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
52.8% (742)
-6.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
67.6% (34)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
46.2% (156)
+3.8%
On power play, Eller has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Dewar
Eller
Home
43.9% (189)
54.5% (448)
Away
49.3% (221)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Dewar
Eller
P1
50.4%
52.8%
P2
50.0%
50.9%
P3
40.8%
53.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |