Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Eller 51.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 59.9%
Defensive zone
Dewar 71.4%
Neutral zone
Dewar 69.4%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Dewar
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Dewar
Eller
Last 8: Dewar 2-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Dewar
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
4
Dewar
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
52.8% (650)
-12.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
69.2% (13)
+30.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
45.5% (88)
+2.9%
On power play, Dewar has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Dewar
Eller
Home
41.0% (78)
52.6% (340)
Away
45.7% (46)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Dewar
Eller
P1
38.9%
52.4%
P2
53.3%
54.1%
P3
34.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |