Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Eller 53.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 56.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Dewar
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dewar
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
53.8% (865)
-8.4%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
57.1% (21)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
52.6% (137)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Dewar
Eller
Home
43.3% (238)
56.4% (486)
Away
44.9% (265)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Dewar
Eller
P1
41.7%
55.1%
P2
46.1%
55.3%
P3
44.4%
51.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |