Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Jankowski 50.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 80.8%
Defensive zone
Dewar 54.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 53.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Dewar
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dewar
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
49.3% (134)
-3.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
37.5% (8)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
61.9% (21)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Dewar
Jankowski
Home
43.9% (189)
54.2% (72)
Away
49.3% (221)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Dewar
Jankowski
P1
50.4%
54.2%
P2
50.0%
42.4%
P3
40.8%
55.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |