Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.7% vs Jankowski 53.6% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 80.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 91.4%
Neutral zone
Dewar 79.5%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Dewar
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dewar
Jankowski
Last 5: Dewar 0-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Dewar
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Dewar
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
54.1% (527)
-0.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (14)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
57.5% (40)
-26.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Dewar is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Dewar shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Dewar
Jankowski
Home
42.1% (19)
53.9% (310)
Away
44.4% (36)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Dewar
Jankowski
P1
52.6%
54.6%
P2
31.8%
56.3%
P3
53.8%
51.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
43.6%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |