Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Jankowski 50.5% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 65.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 73.8%
Neutral zone
Dewar 69.1%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Dewar
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Dewar
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Dewar
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Dewar
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
51.3% (347)
-11.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
72.7% (11)
+27.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
44.0% (75)
+4.4%
On power play, Dewar has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Dewar
Jankowski
Home
41.0% (78)
46.8% (188)
Away
45.7% (46)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Dewar
Jankowski
P1
38.9%
51.6%
P2
53.3%
49.3%
P3
34.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |