Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 81.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 82.4%
Neutral zone
Dewar 79.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Dewar
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Dewar
Jankowski
Last 9: Dewar 1-8 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
5
Dewar
Jankowski
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Dewar
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Dewar
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
51.5% (3,462)
-6.1%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
53.7% (95)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
42.8% (528)
-1.0%
On power play, Dewar has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
Dewar
Jankowski
Home
43.4% (588)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
46.8% (637)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Dewar
Jankowski
P1
43.9%
50.0%
P2
47.1%
51.2%
P3
44.3%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |