Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 75.5%
Defensive zone
Dewar 80.1%
Neutral zone
Dewar 52.9%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Dewar
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Dewar
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
37.7% (53)
+7.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
40.9% (44)
+34.1%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
66.7% (3)
-37.9%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Dewar shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Dewar
Schmaltz
Home
43.3% (238)
34.7% (49)
Away
44.9% (265)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Dewar
Schmaltz
P1
41.7%
25.9%
P2
46.1%
46.2%
P3
44.4%
42.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |