Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 73.8%
Neutral zone
Dewar 61.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Dewar
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dewar
Schmaltz
Last 9: Dewar 5-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
3
2
Dewar
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
41.2% (3,399)
+4.2%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
47.1% (649)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
47.8% (134)
-6.0%
On power play, Dewar has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dewar is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Dewar shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Dewar
Schmaltz
Home
43.4% (588)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
46.8% (637)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Dewar
Schmaltz
P1
43.9%
41.1%
P2
47.1%
42.9%
P3
44.3%
43.0%
OT
0.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |