Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.7% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.9%
Defensive zone
Dewar 80.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.9%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Dewar
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dewar
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
45.9% (665)
+7.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
46.8% (111)
+53.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
50.0% (24)
-19.2%
On power play, Dewar has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dewar is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Dewar shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Dewar
Schmaltz
Home
42.1% (19)
44.7% (409)
Away
44.4% (36)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Dewar
Schmaltz
P1
52.6%
40.3%
P2
31.8%
47.6%
P3
53.8%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
43.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |