Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 48.1% vs Aho 52.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 68.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 69.7%
Neutral zone
Dewar 59.2%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Dewar
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Dewar
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (114)
51.6% (819)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
58.4% (173)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
46.3% (67)
+6.6%
On power play, Aho has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dewar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Dewar shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Dewar
Aho
Home
45.3% (64)
53.9% (568)
Away
47.8% (69)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Dewar
Aho
P1
33.3%
55.4%
P2
44.2%
51.2%
P3
64.1%
50.9%
Final 5 min
58.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |