Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Aho 51.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 89.3%
Defensive zone
Dewar 62.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 56.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Dewar
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dewar
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
48.5% (778)
-3.1%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
63.4% (191)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
50.8% (65)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Dewar
Aho
Home
43.3% (238)
51.3% (530)
Away
44.9% (265)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Dewar
Aho
P1
41.7%
50.0%
P2
46.1%
51.3%
P3
44.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |