Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Aho 53.8% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 92.3%
Defensive zone
Aho 54.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 62.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Dewar
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dewar
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
51.2% (785)
-5.0%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
63.8% (213)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
57.9% (57)
-7.9%
On power play, Aho has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Dewar
Aho
Home
43.9% (189)
54.9% (548)
Away
49.3% (221)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Dewar
Aho
P1
50.4%
52.8%
P2
50.0%
58.9%
P3
40.8%
50.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |