Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs McDavid 42.5% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 94.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 92.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Horvat
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Horvat
McDavid
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
McDavid
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
McDavid
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
40.7% (578)
+12.0%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
56.3% (16)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
50.0% (10)
-10.2%
On even strength, Horvat has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Horvat is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (932).
Horvat shoots left. McDavid is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Horvat
McDavid
Home
53.1% (723)
42.7% (323)
Away
48.8% (770)
39.5% (281)
By Period
Horvat
McDavid
P1
51.1%
42.3%
P2
52.6%
37.3%
P3
48.8%
43.4%
OT
57.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |