Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs McDavid 42.2% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 86.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 85.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Horvat
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
McDavid
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Horvat
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
41.4% (855)
+11.7%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
47.8% (23)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
35.5% (31)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Horvat
McDavid
Home
53.0% (673)
42.8% (451)
Away
54.5% (651)
40.0% (458)
By Period
Horvat
McDavid
P1
51.9%
38.0%
P2
54.8%
44.9%
P3
54.3%
41.7%
OT
58.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |