Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs McDavid 48.1% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 80.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 87.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 83.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 82.9%
17.1%
82.9%
Horvat
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Horvat
McDavid
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
10
Horvat
McDavid
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
McDavid
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
46.9% (633)
+9.4%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
69.2% (26)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
45.5% (11)
+3.9%
On even strength, Horvat has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. McDavid is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Horvat
McDavid
Home
57.3% (742)
49.9% (353)
Away
57.4% (741)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Horvat
McDavid
P1
59.0%
46.6%
P2
59.7%
50.9%
P3
53.6%
45.9%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |