Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs McDavid 51.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 57.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 59.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Horvat
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Horvat
McDavid
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
4
Horvat
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Horvat
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
McDavid
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
51.6% (803)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
50.0% (40)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
36.4% (22)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Horvat
McDavid
Home
54.2% (714)
51.8% (415)
Away
53.6% (705)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Horvat
McDavid
P1
53.5%
47.5%
P2
56.3%
51.6%
P3
53.5%
55.5%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |