Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 52.9%). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kampf shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Kampf 52.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 91.1%
Defensive zone
Kampf 80.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
McDavid
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
McDavid
Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kampf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
54.9% (856)
-0.6%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
37.5% (8)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
47.5% (301)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Kampf has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Kampf is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (726).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kampf
Home
53.6% (507)
52.9% (567)
Away
53.8% (539)
52.8% (598)
By Period
McDavid
Kampf
P1
52.6%
51.5%
P2
54.1%
52.5%
P3
54.9%
54.7%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |