Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kampf shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Kampf 51.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kampf 78.4%
Neutral zone
Kampf 50.2%
Result
David Kampf favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
McDavid
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McDavid
Kampf
Last 6: McDavid 3-3 Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
52.3% (405)
-4.6%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
50.0% (2)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
47.8% (136)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Kampf has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Kampf is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kampf
Home
47.3% (387)
49.8% (269)
Away
48.1% (389)
52.6% (274)
By Period
McDavid
Kampf
P1
47.6%
50.5%
P2
50.0%
53.8%
P3
45.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | David Kampf |