Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Kampf 51.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 24-19 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 77.0%
Defensive zone
Kampf 88.2%
Neutral zone
Kampf 63.0%
Result
David Kampf favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
McDavid
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
19
(43 meetings)
24
19
McDavid
Kampf
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
12
4
McDavid
Kampf
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
4
6
McDavid
Kampf
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
8
9
McDavid
Kampf
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
53.5% (5,262)
-5.8%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
53.3% (75)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
44.5% (1,512)
-1.1%
On even strength, Kampf has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Kampf is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (4,504).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kampf
Home
49.3% (4,570)
51.6% (3,313)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
51.4% (3,536)
By Period
McDavid
Kampf
P1
46.5%
52.1%
P2
48.7%
51.3%
P3
48.3%
51.3%
OT
40.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |