Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.9%). Look for Kampf on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Kampf 50.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 86.7%
Defensive zone
Kampf 79.5%
Neutral zone
Kampf 52.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
McDavid
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McDavid
Kampf
Last 5: McDavid 3-2 Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
2
McDavid
Kampf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
53.8% (610)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
53.8% (13)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
44.8% (299)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Kampf has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Kampf is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kampf
Home
51.8% (415)
47.5% (400)
Away
50.4% (450)
53.4% (522)
By Period
McDavid
Kampf
P1
47.5%
57.3%
P2
51.6%
47.4%
P3
55.5%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | David Kampf |