Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Cozens 46.1% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 50.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
McDavid
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
McDavid
Cozens
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
McDavid
Cozens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
2
McDavid
Cozens
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
McDavid
Cozens
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
45.6% (746)
+8.7%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.8% (65)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
34.5% (29)
-1.2%
On even strength, McDavid has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
McDavid
Cozens
Home
53.6% (507)
43.9% (410)
Away
53.8% (539)
47.2% (430)
By Period
McDavid
Cozens
P1
52.6%
46.4%
P2
54.1%
41.6%
P3
54.9%
49.4%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:10 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |