Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Lindholm 55.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 53.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 65.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
McDavid
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McDavid
Lindholm
Last 5: McDavid 2-3 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
McDavid
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Lindholm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
57.3% (944)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
61.1% (162)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
49.1% (230)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
McDavid
Lindholm
Home
51.8% (415)
55.2% (667)
Away
50.4% (450)
57.5% (669)
By Period
McDavid
Lindholm
P1
47.5%
54.7%
P2
51.6%
55.5%
P3
55.5%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |