Connor McDavid vs Elias Lindholm
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 52 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Lindholm 53.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 83-55 in 138 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 77.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 89.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 81.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
McDavid
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
55
-
83
(138 meetings)
55
83
McDavid
Lindholm
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
21
20
McDavid
Lindholm
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
16
29
McDavid
Lindholm
45 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
18
34
McDavid
Lindholm
52 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
53.8% (8,505)
-6.1%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
59.3% (1,734)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
48.1% (1,610)
-4.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Home / Away
McDavid
Lindholm
Home
49.3% (4,570)
54.1% (5,943)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
53.6% (5,906)
By Period
McDavid
Lindholm
P1
46.5%
54.1%
P2
48.7%
54.5%
P3
48.3%
53.0%
OT
40.9%
53.6%
Final 5 min
50.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |