Connor McDavid vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.2% vs 44.0%). McDavid wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Kuznetsov 44.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 54.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 52.5%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 51.8%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Last 6: McDavid 4-2 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kuznetsov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kuznetsov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Kuznetsov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
42.8% (962)
+0.5%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
57.7% (71)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
75.0% (4)
-33.1%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. McDavid is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
McDavid shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Home
48.7% (413)
42.6% (493)
Away
37.4% (393)
45.2% (544)
By Period
McDavid
Kuznetsov
P1
38.8%
44.0%
P2
46.8%
47.2%
P3
44.2%
40.8%
OT
45.5%
38.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |