Connor McDavid vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 62.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 65.2%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 50.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
McDavid
Kuznetsov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kuznetsov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
47.7% (927)
+3.8%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
53.5% (71)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
39.4% (71)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Home
50.7% (513)
45.9% (534)
Away
53.2% (498)
49.2% (535)
By Period
McDavid
Kuznetsov
P1
52.3%
44.8%
P2
51.6%
52.1%
P3
51.7%
44.5%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |