Connor McDavid vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Kuznetsov 44.0% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 66.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.6%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 56.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kuznetsov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
2
McDavid
Kuznetsov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
43.3% (980)
+11.0%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
47.0% (115)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
40.8% (71)
-7.5%
On even strength, McDavid has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Home
53.6% (507)
43.9% (602)
Away
53.8% (539)
43.1% (564)
By Period
McDavid
Kuznetsov
P1
52.6%
43.2%
P2
54.1%
41.5%
P3
54.9%
45.2%
OT
44.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |