Connor McDavid vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Kuznetsov 44.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 56.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 67.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 60.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
16
(36 meetings)
20
16
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
2
McDavid
Kuznetsov
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
3
McDavid
Kuznetsov
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
12
11
McDavid
Kuznetsov
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
43.9% (8,296)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
49.4% (633)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
38.2% (272)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Home
49.3% (4,570)
44.8% (4,622)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
43.4% (4,579)
By Period
McDavid
Kuznetsov
P1
46.5%
43.6%
P2
48.7%
45.8%
P3
48.3%
42.8%
OT
40.9%
43.2%
Final 5 min
50.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |