Connor McDavid vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Kuznetsov 45.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 55.0%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 53.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 56.7%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Last 5: McDavid 2-3 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kuznetsov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kuznetsov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
3
McDavid
Kuznetsov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
44.4% (613)
+7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
58.8% (68)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
36.4% (66)
+0.0%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Home
51.8% (415)
48.6% (370)
Away
50.4% (450)
41.4% (377)
By Period
McDavid
Kuznetsov
P1
47.5%
44.3%
P2
51.6%
49.6%
P3
55.5%
41.4%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |