Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Evans 49.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 79.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 65.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
McDavid
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
51.3% (739)
+3.0%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
53.3% (15)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
43.0% (172)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
McDavid
Evans
Home
53.6% (507)
52.1% (503)
Away
53.8% (539)
47.0% (423)
By Period
McDavid
Evans
P1
52.6%
50.5%
P2
54.1%
47.7%
P3
54.9%
51.3%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |