Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Carter 60.1% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 82.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 60.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
McDavid
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
McDavid
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
65.6% (262)
-14.0%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
68.3% (63)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
50.5% (99)
-14.1%
On power play, Carter has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
McDavid
Carter
Home
51.8% (415)
64.3% (207)
Away
50.4% (450)
60.8% (217)
By Period
McDavid
Carter
P1
47.5%
65.3%
P2
51.6%
60.1%
P3
55.5%
63.8%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |