Connor McDavid vs Jonathan Marchessault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Marchessault 42.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Marchessault leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Marchessault 78.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 69.8%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 52.9%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
McDavid
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
McDavid
Marchessault
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
4
McDavid
Marchessault
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
McDavid
Marchessault
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
7
McDavid
Marchessault
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
41.3% (1,437)
+6.4%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
44.3% (264)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
44.4% (9)
-1.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Marchessault is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,121).
Home / Away
McDavid
Marchessault
Home
49.3% (4,570)
42.5% (888)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
41.0% (822)
By Period
McDavid
Marchessault
P1
46.5%
43.1%
P2
48.7%
42.1%
P3
48.3%
39.9%
OT
40.9%
42.3%
Final 5 min
50.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 13, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |