Connor McDavid vs Jonathan Marchessault
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Marchessault 46.5% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 54.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 66.2%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 55.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
McDavid
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
0
1
McDavid
Marchessault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Marchessault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
44.1% (93)
+10.2%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
28.6% (7)
+16.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Marchessault is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
McDavid
Marchessault
Home
53.6% (507)
46.2% (65)
Away
53.8% (539)
37.1% (35)
By Period
McDavid
Marchessault
P1
52.6%
43.2%
P2
54.1%
44.7%
P3
54.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |