Who wins more faceoffs, Connor McDavid or Jonathan Marchessault?

Jonathan Marchessault leads the head-to-head 4-3 across 7 faceoffs.

What is Connor McDavid's faceoff record against Jonathan Marchessault?

Connor McDavid is 3-4 against Jonathan Marchessault in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-1, Defensive 1-0, Neutral 2-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Connor McDavid or Jonathan Marchessault?

Jonathan Marchessault is the predicted winner with a 53.4% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Connor McDavid vs Jonathan Marchessault

Connor McDavidL vs Jonathan MarchessaultR

2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Connor McDavid holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.0% vs Marchessault 40.9% (+9.4%)

H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Marchessault 73.3%

Defensive zone McDavid 64.0%

Neutral zone Marchessault 52.9%

Result Jonathan Marchessault favored at 53.4%

46.6%

53.4%

McDavid Marchessault

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 4 (7 meetings)

McDavid Marchessault

Last 7: McDavid 3-4 Marchessault

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Marchessault

McDavid Marchessault

1 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: McDavid

McDavid Marchessault

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Marchessault

McDavid Marchessault

5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McDavid

Marchessault

Edge

Even Strength

46.9% (862)

36.2% (213)

+10.7%

Power Play

42.1% (38)

42.4% (33)

-0.3%

Penalty Kill

44.4% (18)

100.0% (1)

-55.6%

On penalty kill, Marchessault has a +55.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Marchessault shoots right. McDavid is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (330).

McDavid shoots left. Marchessault is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (143).

Home / Away

McDavid

Marchessault

Home

47.9% (478)

38.7% (111)

Away

45.2% (440)

36.0% (136)

By Period

McDavid

Marchessault

45.9%

43.1%

47.7%

29.2%

46.6%

37.7%

33.3%

25.0%

Final 5 min

47.2%

47.1%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McDavid

50.0%▬

50.0%

46.6%

Marchessault

32.0%▬

32.0%

37.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Dec 1, 2018	1	06:26	Defensive	Connor McDavid
Dec 1, 2018	1	06:11	Neutral	Jonathan Marchessault
Dec 1, 2018	1	00:00	Neutral	Connor McDavid
Nov 18, 2018	3	00:00	Neutral	Jonathan Marchessault
Nov 18, 2018	1	12:26	Offensive	Jonathan Marchessault
Nov 18, 2018	1	03:25	Neutral	Connor McDavid
Nov 18, 2018	1	00:00	Neutral	Jonathan Marchessault

McDavid's Profile | Marchessault's Profile