Connor McDavid vs Jonathan Marchessault

2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Connor McDavid holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.0% vs Marchessault 40.9% (+9.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Marchessault 73.3%
Defensive zone McDavid 64.0%
Neutral zone Marchessault 52.9%
Result Jonathan Marchessault favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
McDavid Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 4 (7 meetings)
3
4
McDavid Marchessault
Last 7: McDavid 3-4 Marchessault

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
0
1
McDavid Marchessault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid Marchessault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
3
McDavid Marchessault
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (862)
36.2% (213)
+10.7%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
42.4% (33)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
100.0% (1)
-55.6%
On penalty kill, Marchessault has a +55.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. McDavid is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (330).
McDavid shoots left. Marchessault is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
McDavid
Marchessault
Home
47.9% (478)
38.7% (111)
Away
45.2% (440)
36.0% (136)
By Period
McDavid
Marchessault
P1
45.9%
43.1%
P2
47.7%
29.2%
P3
46.6%
37.7%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
46.6%
Marchessault
32.0%
32.0%
37.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 1, 2018 1 06:26 Defensive Connor McDavid
Dec 1, 2018 1 06:11 Neutral Jonathan Marchessault
Dec 1, 2018 1 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 18, 2018 3 00:00 Neutral Jonathan Marchessault
Nov 18, 2018 1 12:26 Offensive Jonathan Marchessault
Nov 18, 2018 1 03:25 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 18, 2018 1 00:00 Neutral Jonathan Marchessault