Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Toews 54.6% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 14-2 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 89.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 93.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 90.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 91.0%
91.0%
9.0%
McDavid
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
14
(16 meetings)
2
14
McDavid
Toews
Last 10: McDavid 1-9 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
5
McDavid
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
McDavid
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
5
McDavid
Toews
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
54.8% (1,153)
-11.5%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
58.8% (233)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
50.0% (166)
-8.1%
On power play, Toews has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. McDavid is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
McDavid shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
McDavid
Toews
Home
48.7% (413)
58.7% (784)
Away
37.4% (393)
51.0% (768)
By Period
McDavid
Toews
P1
38.8%
54.0%
P2
46.8%
57.4%
P3
44.2%
52.6%
OT
45.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |