Connor McDavid vs Jonathan Toews
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (76% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Toews 57.9% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 59-22 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 97.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 95.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 97.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 96.9%
96.9%
3.1%
McDavid
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
59
(81 meetings)
22
59
McDavid
Toews
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
17
McDavid
Toews
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
10
17
McDavid
Toews
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
8
25
McDavid
Toews
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
57.2% (13,047)
-9.5%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
63.3% (3,252)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
53.6% (1,810)
-10.2%
On power play, Toews has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
McDavid
Toews
Home
49.3% (4,570)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
McDavid
Toews
P1
46.5%
58.6%
P2
48.7%
57.8%
P3
48.3%
57.3%
OT
40.9%
58.9%
Final 5 min
50.1%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |