Connor McDavid vs Kevin Stenlund

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.8% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor Stenlund leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 89.9%
Defensive zone McDavid 55.9%
Neutral zone McDavid 73.3%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
McDavid Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 13 (19 meetings)
6
13
McDavid Stenlund
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Stenlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
2
McDavid Stenlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
9
McDavid Stenlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
McDavid Stenlund
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
55.3% (2,703)
-7.6%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
52.6% (116)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
50.6% (919)
-7.2%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +7.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Home / Away
McDavid
Stenlund
Home
49.3% (4,570)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
McDavid
Stenlund
P1
46.5%
56.4%
P2
48.7%
53.3%
P3
48.3%
52.8%
OT
40.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.1%
53.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.7%
Stenlund
52.0%
59.0%
54.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 28, 2025 3 01:53 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 18, 2025 3 12:43 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Dec 31, 2024 3 14:46 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 31, 2024 2 08:25 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Nov 29, 2024 2 12:59 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Dec 16, 2023 3 04:21 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 16, 2023 2 16:01 Neutral Connor McDavid
Dec 16, 2023 1 04:36 Offensive Kevin Stenlund
Nov 20, 2023 3 05:53 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 4, 2023 3 05:10 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 4, 2023 1 16:35 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 4, 2023 1 01:30 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 3, 2023 3 01:17 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 3, 2023 2 00:44 Offensive Kevin Stenlund
Dec 31, 2022 3 03:48 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Dec 31, 2022 1 15:44 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Dec 31, 2022 1 11:32 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Dec 31, 2022 1 03:00 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 7, 2020 1 15:46 Neutral Kevin Stenlund