Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Eller 51.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 54.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 88.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 64.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
McDavid
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McDavid
Eller
Last 6: McDavid 5-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
52.8% (769)
-5.9%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
54.7% (75)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
46.8% (188)
-1.3%
On power play, McDavid has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McDavid is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (450).
McDavid shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eller
Home
49.9% (353)
51.3% (513)
Away
45.4% (317)
52.5% (520)
By Period
McDavid
Eller
P1
46.6%
50.3%
P2
50.9%
52.8%
P3
45.9%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |