Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Eller 51.9% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 62.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
McDavid
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
52.8% (650)
-5.1%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
69.2% (13)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
45.5% (88)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eller
Home
47.3% (387)
52.6% (340)
Away
48.1% (389)
51.8% (411)
By Period
McDavid
Eller
P1
47.6%
52.4%
P2
50.0%
54.1%
P3
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%