Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Eller 49.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 82.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 65.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
McDavid
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McDavid
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
McDavid
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
51.1% (786)
+3.2%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
45.0% (80)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
43.6% (165)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eller
Home
53.6% (507)
51.2% (510)
Away
53.8% (539)
47.8% (521)
By Period
McDavid
Eller
P1
52.6%
50.7%
P2
54.1%
49.0%
P3
54.9%
48.3%
OT
44.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |