Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Beniers 42.9% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 63.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 76.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 70.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
McDavid
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
McDavid
Beniers
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
3
McDavid
Beniers
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
4
McDavid
Beniers
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
42.3% (879)
+9.2%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
40.3% (72)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
44.4% (18)
+6.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
McDavid
Beniers
Home
50.7% (513)
43.8% (495)
Away
53.2% (498)
40.5% (474)
By Period
McDavid
Beniers
P1
52.3%
43.3%
P2
51.6%
45.6%
P3
51.7%
38.2%
OT
100.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |