Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Beniers 47.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 58.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 57.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 60.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
McDavid
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
McDavid
Beniers
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
McDavid
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
3
McDavid
Beniers
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
47.3% (945)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
51.7% (145)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
23.8% (21)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
McDavid
Beniers
Home
51.8% (415)
49.6% (565)
Away
50.4% (450)
45.2% (546)
By Period
McDavid
Beniers
P1
47.5%
48.0%
P2
51.6%
49.0%
P3
55.5%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
23.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |