Connor McDavid vs Mikael Granlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Granlund 47.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 69.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 58.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
McDavid
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
McDavid
Granlund
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
4
McDavid
Granlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
46.7% (885)
+4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
44.9% (69)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
49.0% (98)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
McDavid
Granlund
Home
51.8% (415)
51.1% (495)
Away
50.4% (450)
42.9% (557)
By Period
McDavid
Granlund
P1
47.5%
49.9%
P2
51.6%
46.4%
P3
55.5%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |